๐Ÿ“š More on this topic: Qwen Models Guide ยท Llama 3 Guide ยท Mistral & Mixtral Guide ยท VRAM Requirements ยท Planning Tool

You’re not just picking a model. You’re picking an ecosystem โ€” the documentation you’ll read, the fine-tunes you’ll find on HuggingFace, the Discord channels where you’ll ask for help, and the tooling that gets first-class support. Switching later is easy technically (swap one GGUF for another), but the time you invest learning a family’s quirks, quantization sweet spots, and prompt formats is real.

Three families dominate open-weight AI in 2026: Alibaba’s Qwen, Meta’s Llama, and Mistral AI’s lineup. Each takes a different approach to the same problem. Here’s how to pick.


The Three Families at a Glance

Qwen (Alibaba)Llama (Meta)Mistral (Mistral AI)
Size range0.6B โ€“ 397B1B โ€“ 405B (+ Llama 4 Scout/Maverick)3B โ€“ 675B
LicenseApache 2.0Llama Community LicenseApache 2.0 (most models)
MoE optionsQwen3-30B-A3B, Qwen3.5-397B-A17BLlama 4 Scout (109B/17B), Maverick (400B/17B)Mixtral 8x7B, 8x22B, Mistral Large 3 (675B/41B)
Languages201~200Strong European + multilingual
Specialized modelsCoder, VL (vision), MathVision (3.2), Llama GuardCodestral, Devstral, Pixtral
ContextUp to 1M tokensUp to 10M tokens (Scout)Up to 256K tokens
Community sizeGrowing fast, #1 on HuggingFace downloadsLargest English-speaking communitySmaller but dedicated
PhilosophyA model for every taskOne model to rule them allEfficiency and pragmatism

All three run in Ollama, llama.cpp, vLLM, and MLX. Tooling isn’t the differentiator โ€” it’s model breadth, community, and where each family invests its research.


Qwen: The Specialist Factory

Alibaba’s Qwen team ships models like a factory line. Need a 0.6B model for edge devices? They have it. A 32B coding specialist? Qwen 2.5 Coder. Vision understanding? Qwen-VL. Math and reasoning? Qwen3 with /think mode. A frontier-class MoE that runs on a Mac? Qwen3.5-397B-A17B at 4-bit on 256GB unified memory.

What makes Qwen different: Breadth. No other family covers this many use cases with dedicated models. The Qwen3 lineup alone spans eight dense sizes plus two MoE variants, and every model supports hybrid thinking โ€” toggle /think for step-by-step reasoning on hard problems, /no_think for fast chat.

The numbers that matter:

  • Qwen3-4B rivals Qwen 2.5-72B on benchmarks โ€” the generational leap is real
  • Qwen3-30B-A3B runs on 8GB VRAM with aggressive quantization (only 3B active parameters)
  • Qwen 2.5 Coder 32B still matches GPT-4o on HumanEval
  • 201 languages โ€” the best multilingual support in any open model family
  • Qwen has overtaken Llama as the most-downloaded model family on HuggingFace

The catch: Some models feel benchmark-optimized. In conversation, Qwen can sound slightly mechanical compared to well-tuned Llama chat models. And while Qwen’s HuggingFace numbers are surging, English-language community resources (tutorials, Reddit discussions, troubleshooting threads) still skew toward Llama.

Best for: Multilingual work, coding, vision tasks, budget hardware (MoE models), anyone building a tiered model strategy who wants one family across every tier.


Llama: The Community Default

Meta’s Llama is the Toyota Camry of open-weight AI. It’s not always the best at any single task, but it’s the safest choice. Every tool supports it. Every tutorial uses it as the example. When something new launches โ€” a fine-tuning framework, a serving engine, a chat UI โ€” Llama compatibility comes first.

What makes Llama different: Ecosystem. The sheer volume of community work built on Llama is unmatched. Thousands of fine-tunes on HuggingFace cover everything from roleplay to medical terminology to legal analysis. If you need a model fine-tuned for a niche task, someone probably already did it on a Llama base.

The numbers that matter:

  • Llama 3.3 70B matches the original 3.1 405B at a fraction of the VRAM cost (~43GB at Q4)
  • Llama 4 Scout has a 10M token context window โ€” longest in any open model
  • Llama 4 Maverick crossed 1400 on LMArena, beating GPT-4o and DeepSeek V3
  • Llama 3.2 Vision 11B is the easiest way to run multimodal locally in Ollama
  • The largest fine-tune ecosystem of any model family by a wide margin in English-speaking communities

The catch: The license isn’t truly open source. The Llama Community License restricts companies with 700M+ monthly active users from using it without a separate agreement. For hobbyists, this doesn’t matter. For startups with growth ambitions, it’s a clause worth reading. Also, Llama 4 Scout needs ~55GB at Q4 โ€” out of reach for most single-GPU setups. And fine-tune quality varies wildly. There are thousands of Llama fine-tunes, but most are mediocre.

Best for: First-time local AI users, anyone who values community support and documentation, chat and conversation (most personality-tuned fine-tunes), general-purpose work where you want the widest safety net.


Mistral: The Efficiency Pioneer

Mistral AI doesn’t try to match Qwen’s breadth or Llama’s community size. They focus on doing more with less. Mixtral 8x7B was the model that proved MoE could work on consumer hardware. Mistral Nemo 12B packed 128K context into 8GB VRAM. And Mistral 3, released December 2025, showed the company isn’t done competing.

What makes Mistral different: Pragmatism. Fewer model variants, but each one is carefully positioned. Mistral Large 3 (675B total, 41B active) competes at the frontier. Ministral 3B/8B/14B cover the budget tier with multimodal support and reasoning variants. Devstral 2 hit 72.2% on SWE-bench Verified โ€” state of the art for open coding models at launch.

The numbers that matter:

  • Mistral Nemo 12B: 128K context, Apache 2.0, fits on 16GB VRAM at Q4
  • Ministral 14B (reasoning variant) scores 85% on AIME โ€” outscoring Qwen 14B (73.7%) on math
  • Devstral 2 (123B) hit 72.2% on SWE-bench Verified with the Mistral Vibe CLI
  • Mistral Large 3 scores 93.6% on MATH-500 and 90-92% on HumanEval
  • Apache 2.0 on most models (Codestral’s non-commercial license is the exception)

The catch: Smaller community means fewer fine-tunes, fewer Reddit threads when you hit a problem, and fewer tutorials. Mixtral 8x7B and 8x22B are aging โ€” dense models from Qwen and Llama now outperform them at similar VRAM budgets. And while Mistral 3 closed the gap at the frontier, the consumer-tier lineup (sub-32B) still has fewer options than Qwen or Llama.

Best for: European language work, efficient inference on constrained hardware, coding (Devstral 2 and Codestral), anyone who prefers a curated lineup over an overwhelming catalog.


Head-to-Head by Use Case

Here’s where each family wins โ€” and where it doesn’t:

Use CaseWinnerRunner-UpNotes
CodingQwen (Coder 32B)Mistral (Devstral 2)Qwen Coder leads on HumanEval. Devstral 2 leads on SWE-bench. Both beat Llama for dedicated code work.
MultilingualQwen (201 languages)Llama (~200)Qwen was trained on more multilingual data. Llama covers many languages but skews English. Mistral handles European languages well.
Chat / ConversationLlamaQwenLlama has the most personality fine-tunes. Qwen is strong but can feel benchmark-optimized in freeform chat.
RAG / AnalysisQwen โ‰ˆ LlamaMistralQwen’s instruction following is excellent. Llama 4 Scout’s 10M context is unmatched. Mistral Nemo’s 128K is practical.
Budget hardware (8-16GB)QwenLlamaQwen3-30B-A3B squeezes 30B params into 8GB. Qwen 14B is the 12-16GB sweet spot. Llama 8B is competitive.
Math / ReasoningQwen โ‰ˆ MistralLlamaQwen3 /think mode and Ministral 14B reasoning variant both score high on AIME.
Vision / MultimodalQwen (VL)Llama (3.2 Vision)Qwen-VL covers 2B to 32B. Llama 3.2 Vision at 11B is easier to set up in Ollama.
Maximum model qualityQwen 3.5 (397B)Mistral Large 3 (675B)Both are frontier-class MoE. Llama 4 Maverick (400B) competes but needs more VRAM.

No single family sweeps the table. That’s the point.


The Ecosystem Factor

Picking a model isn’t just about benchmarks. It’s about what happens when you hit a wall at 2 AM and need help.

Llama wins on community. The most fine-tunes, the most tutorials, the most Reddit threads. If you Google an error message with “Llama” in the query, you’ll find someone who already fixed it. Every new tool, framework, and serving engine tests against Llama first.

Qwen wins on breadth. A Qwen model exists for almost every task. Text, code, vision, math, agents, embeddings โ€” you can build an entire tiered model strategy using nothing but Qwen models. And Qwen has recently overtaken Llama as the most-downloaded family on HuggingFace, driven partly by DeepSeek R1’s distilled models using Qwen bases.

Mistral wins on simplicity. Fewer choices means less decision paralysis. Mistral Nemo 12B for general use, Devstral for code, Ministral for budget hardware. You don’t need a guide to navigate the lineup because there are five models instead of fifty.

License matters too. Qwen and most Mistral models are Apache 2.0 โ€” do whatever you want. Llama’s community license is free for most uses but has that 700M user clause and attribution requirements. If you’re building a product, Apache 2.0 gives you cleaner legal footing.


Which Should You Pick?

If you’re just starting: Llama. Best documentation, biggest community, everything just works. Pull llama3.2:3b in Ollama, start chatting, and learn the basics without worrying about picking the wrong model.

If you’re building something specific: Qwen. Coding project? Qwen Coder. Vision pipeline? Qwen-VL. Multilingual app? Qwen with 201 languages. Agent framework? Qwen3 with /think mode. They have a specialized model for whatever you need.

If you want efficient and simple: Mistral at the Nemo 12B or Ministral sizes. Battle-tested, well-understood, 128K context in 8GB VRAM. No decision paralysis.

If you’re multilingual: Qwen, no contest. 201 languages versus everyone else’s narrower training.

If you care about licensing: Qwen or Mistral. Apache 2.0 means no strings. Llama’s license is fine for hobbyists but adds friction for commercial products.

The real answer: Use all three. Run Qwen Coder for development, Llama for chat, Mistral Nemo for long-context analysis. Different models for different tasks. That’s the beauty of local AI โ€” you’re not locked into one provider, and swapping models costs nothing but the download time.

Your VRAM decides which models from each family are available to you. Your use case decides which family’s strengths matter most. Start with one, add others when you hit the edges of what it does well.

๐Ÿ“š Go deeper: Qwen3 Complete Guide ยท Llama 4 Guide ยท Mistral & Mixtral Guide ยท Best Models for Coding ยท VRAM Requirements